Overview
Key indicators for Marbella for the selected year, based on the filtered zones and nationalities.
Price per m² and volume by zone
Golden Mile, Nagüeles, Nueva Andalucía and Puerto Banús versus Marbella overall, 2024–2027 (2027 projected).
€/m² evolution by zone
Combined transaction/asking price, annual average
Units sold by zone
Annual transaction volume
Sample asking prices by micro-zone (Golden Mile)
Indicative current asking-price ranges, not statistical averages
Zone comparison — Costa del Sol 2025
Average price and year-on-year change by zone (specialized market report, 2025)
Domestic vs. international investor
Evolution of foreign buyer share in Marbella, with the luxury segment (>€2M) as a reference.
Market share: domestic vs. international
% of total transactions in Marbella
Buyer context
Transactional profile in Marbella
Segmentation by nationality
Share of each nationality in total Marbella transactions for the selected year.
Market share by nationality
% of total transactions, selected year
Evolution by nationality
2024–2027, selected nationalities
Winners and losers in share (2024 → selected year)
Change in percentage points of each nationality's share. Green = rising, red = falling, gray = holding steady.
Nationality × zone correlation
Relative concentration index (0–100) by nationality and zone, based on market evidence. Not an exact % of transactions — see methodology.
Projected trends toward 2027
Projected price per m² and unit volume by zone, with the main growth driver identified.
Methodology & sources
This dashboard combines published hard data (Notaries of Spain Statistical Portal, Colegio de Registradores, Knight Frank, Idealista, Fotocasa, TINSA, and market reports from specialized Costa del Sol real-estate agencies) with modeled estimates when the exact requested granularity (zone × nationality × year) is not publicly disaggregated.
- Prices by zone: the Notaries of Spain officially group Nagüeles with the Golden Mile, and Puerto Banús with Nueva Andalucía. Individual values for each zone are modeled by combining that official figure with asking-price ranges from portals and specialized local agencies (Idealista, Fotocasa and local agencies).
- Volume by zone: the municipal total is official data (specialized local agencies / Knight Frank). The split across the 4 zones + rest of Marbella is a modeled proportional estimate, since no public breakdown of units sold by zone exists.
- Nationality — United Kingdom, Sweden, Netherlands, Germany, Spain: hard data (specialized local agency's own data over 3 years; Notaries of Spain, 12 months to Sept. 2025).
- Nationality — Poland: hard data for 2025 (4.97% in Marbella per specialized local agency/Notaries of Spain data, Nov. 2025); 2024 and 2026–2027 are modeled estimates, anchored to the hard national figure for Spain (Registradores de España via Euro Weekly News: 4.61% national share in Q1 2026, +12.8% year-over-year and +41% vs. 2024, the largest quarterly growth of any nationality) and to Costa del Sol regional data (specialized market analysis, Jan. 2026: ~5% in Marbella, 8.5% in Estepona).
- Nationality — United States: partial hard data (3.35% on a specialized local agency basis; +34% year-over-year in 2024 buyers per specialized agency report) combined with a growth projection.
- Nationality — Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait: no official Marbella-specific percentage exists. These were modeled from hard Costa del Sol regional data (Gulf buyers = 8% of foreign buyers in the >€3M segment, Idealista) and repeated qualitative evidence from multiple specialized real-estate agencies of their growing presence in the Golden Mile and Puerto Banús.
- Nationality × zone matrix: a relative concentration index built from documented evidence — e.g. Swedes = 14% of foreign transactions in the Nueva Andalucía/Puerto Banús postal code ("Little Stockholm"), Gulf buyers concentrated in the Golden Mile and Puerto Banús. Not an actual transaction percentage.
- 2027 projections: interpolated from growth ranges published by Knight Frank and several specialized real-estate agencies for 2026, extended at the same rate to 2027.
- PIRI 100 index, price gap and Golden Triangle volume: Knight Frank's PIRI 100 index (The Wealth Report 2026) and the gap between asking price and final closing price (13.63% villas / 11.10% apartments in 2025) come from a specialized market report produced in collaboration with Knight Frank, as reported by Europa Press. The breakdown of the 8,540 Golden Triangle transactions in 2025 (Marbella 51.3%, Estepona 40.4%, Benahávis 8.3%) and the 2026 investment outlook come from analysis by specialized local real-estate agencies. Sample Golden Mile micro-zone asking prices are current asking-price ranges drawn from local agency area guides, not statistical averages.
- 2025 zone comparison and additional agency-blog context: the average price and year-on-year change table by zone, the 10-year price evolution (2015-2024) and the 2016-2026 estimate (which also provides the resale vs. new-build comparison) come from market reports by specialized local real-estate agencies. The institutional capital inflow (a joint venture, €150M / 262 homes) and new-build purchase costs (10%-13% extra) likewise come from analysis by specialized agencies. Villa market growth (+14% average price, +30% new-build turnover, >85% vacation-rental occupancy) comes from a specialized villa-market analysis for the area.